Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000033 0.000037 0.000042 0.000047 0.000054 0.000060 0.000068
2024-10-27 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000058 0.000070 0.000084
2024-11-03 0.000022 0.000028 0.000037 0.000047 0.000061 0.000077 0.000097
2024-11-10 0.000019 0.000027 0.000036 0.000049 0.000065 0.000085 0.000113
2024-11-17 0.000017 0.000025 0.000035 0.000049 0.000069 0.000093 0.000127
2024-11-24 0.000015 0.000023 0.000034 0.000050 0.000072 0.000101 0.000142
2024-12-01 0.000014 0.000021 0.000033 0.000049 0.000073 0.000106 0.000152
2024-12-08 0.000012 0.000020 0.000031 0.000049 0.000074 0.000110 0.000163
2024-12-15 0.000011 0.000019 0.000031 0.000049 0.000077 0.000116 0.000176
2024-12-22 0.000010 0.000018 0.000031 0.000051 0.000081 0.000126 0.000194
2024-12-29 0.000010 0.000018 0.000030 0.000051 0.000084 0.000132 0.000208
2025-01-05 0.000009 0.000017 0.000030 0.000053 0.000088 0.000142 0.000227
2025-01-12 0.000008 0.000016 0.000029 0.000051 0.000088 0.000144 0.000235
2025-01-19 0.000007 0.000015 0.000028 0.000052 0.000091 0.000152 0.000251
2025-01-26 0.000007 0.000014 0.000027 0.000051 0.000091 0.000156 0.000263
2025-02-02 0.000006 0.000014 0.000027 0.000052 0.000095 0.000165 0.000283
2025-02-09 0.000006 0.000013 0.000027 0.000053 0.000099 0.000174 0.000302
2025-02-16 0.000006 0.000013 0.000027 0.000054 0.000102 0.000182 0.000321
2025-02-23 0.000005 0.000012 0.000026 0.000053 0.000102 0.000186 0.000333
2025-03-02 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000052 0.000103 0.000190 0.000344
2025-03-09 0.000004 0.000011 0.000025 0.000053 0.000105 0.000197 0.000362
2025-03-16 0.000004 0.000011 0.000025 0.000054 0.000110 0.000209 0.000388
2025-03-23 0.000004 0.000011 0.000025 0.000055 0.000113 0.000216 0.000407